Super Tuesday reality check

I just want to compose a preliminary analysis of the Super Tuesday vote. I don’t want to harsh any Joe Biden do-or-die type’s mellow, but it wasn’t the “victory” that establishment Democrats and the media will undoubtedly see it as. Yes, Biden victories have put him back in the saddle, and in states like Texas it was clear that a solid majority of the votes from the “dropouts” in the race opted for him over Sanders. But the truth of the matter is that in the states that Biden won, Donald Trump won 7 of them for a total of 87 Electoral votes. Only three of Biden’s wins were in the Democratic column in 2016, for a total of 34 Electoral votes. On the other hand, of the four states that Bernie Sanders won, three of those states were in the Democratic column but for a total of 67 Electoral votes; Sanders won in a Trump state, Utah, with its 6 Electoral votes, although it is surprising that a “socialist” won a third of the primary vote in a state stereotyped as conservative. The upshot is that Sanders did better than Biden in states that are actually in play for the Democrats.

Another potential problem for Biden backers is the fact that in the past he has proven to be a rather dull candidate once his initial "luster" has worn off. Establishment Democrats may be sighing in relief now, but Biden doesn't excite liberals for a reason. Trump and Republican lawmakers had backed-off on their Ukrainian conspiracy theories when it appeared that Sanders was the frontrunner, but now Republicans in the U.S. Senate say they are preparing a report on Biden and Son's dealings in the Ukraine. It may come out to nothing at all, but this is something that the  gaffe-prone Biden doesn't need to add to the legitimate questions about whether he is the "right" candidate at the "right" time.

As for Mike Bloomberg, he placed no higher than third in nine states, while Elizabeth Warren placed third in five states and fourth in the rest. Neither Bloomberg and especially Warren picked-up enough delegates that would suggest that they have a future. Warren’s third-place finish in her own home state of Massachusetts was symptomatic of her low support among male voters in the state, having alienated many of them with her genderized politicking. Bloomberg will probably continue of for a  little while (actually, no), but Warren is done even if she refuses to admit it.