I have been a Green Bay Packer
fan since I can remember, and unlike people born, say, after 1980 I have long
memories of more than two decades of football irrelevancy that resided in the
“frozen tundra” that few top players wanted to be, unless they had the
misfortune of being drafted by the Packers. Sure, it had a “storied” past, had
won more NFL championships than any other team, and there was Lombardi,
probably the most fabled coach of any sport in history. But to those born after
1980, all they know is that the Packers have been one of the top franchises in
the NFL, thanks in large part to having one Hall of Fame-caliber quarterback
replaced by another—something that is actually rare in the NFL, despite
occurring in recent times in Montana/Young for the 49ers and Manning/Luck for
the Colts.
This season, the Packers are 8-1
since Aaron Rodgers advised fans to “relax” after a 2-2 start, a reaction to
some poor offensive showings. After piling-up 43 points in Monday night’s win
against Atlanta, the Packers lead the NFL in points scored, and are now tied
with Arizona for the best record in the NFC at 10-3, and with the Cardinals
playing the rest of their season with a backup quarterback, the Packers would
seem to be at least the better of the two teams.
But after last night’s game,
there can hardly be sufficient cause to “relax” if one expects the Packers to
win a playoff game, let alone go to the Super Bowl. Green Bay hasn’t had what
one would call a “good” defense since the 2010 Super Bowl team. Like a lot of
teams whose offense is dominated by the passing game with either quick scoring
drives or quick three-and-outs, the defense rarely “rests.” If it is not
“opportunistic”—meaning forcing turnovers, then unhappy things are likely to
happen.
This tendency was demonstrated
last night. The Packers were expected to handle the “best” of the least
division in the NFL, the Atlanta Falcons, with relative ease at home. It
certainly appeared that way in a dominant first half, leading 31-7. But
something happened after halftime. Maybe the Packers just became “complacent”
with their big lead. This has happened before, with Rodgers having huge numbers
in the first half and then just “taking it easy” the rest of the game. But this
time the opponent wasn’t quitting; after all, the Falcons were still looking at
taking sole possession of first place in their division.
And the Packers defense obliged.
Matt Ryan threw for almost 300 yards in the second half as every Atlanta
offensive possession became an exercise in defensive futility. Even the few
defensive successes, such as two third-and-goal stops, were wasted when the
Falcons scored touchdowns on fourth down. The bleeding was briefly plugged when
Rodgers threw 60 yards to Jordy Nelson for a score, but even that seemed more
like good fortune. Leading just 43-37 with Atlanta still having three time outs
and the two-minute warning left on the clock, one had this impending sense of
doom before the Packers recovered an on-side kick that was more like a short
kickoff and reel-off a couple of long runs.
The burning question now is if
this game tells us anything about the Packers chances in the playoffs. I still
have my doubts about Seattle’s offense, but their defense is playing as good as
it ever has. However, looking at the NFC, Dallas, Philadelphia, and anyone from
the NFC South are beatable teams for the Packers, since they have little better
defense. It is those with solid defenses, like Seattle, Arizona and Detroit,
which gives one pause to consider the fact that Packers are 1-3 in playoffs
since 2010.
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