Monday, April 29, 2019

The "calm" before the storm


By all rights, Donald Trump should be a one-term president. Save for the hate fanatics, described in a recent The Guardian story about “Fox News Brain” and how some families are not even on speaking terms due to the “awful shit” people  hear their parents repeating after their daily dose of Fox News. They here Trump continuing to insist as “good people” those who may not be members of white nationalist groups technically, but support their “causes” full-throat nonetheless. It is no surprise, then that it is being reported that 80 percent of “terrorist” attacks in the US last year were hate crimes committed by white perpetrators. Trump’s hate is mostly aimed at Hispanics, although the media hypocritically continues to simplify it as an “immigration” issue when we know that it is really about people who just don’t like Hispanics viscerally and don’t want them around; Pat Buchanan, Ann Coulter and Lou Dobbs have many “fans” for their hysterical, paranoid belief that Hispanics are “out to destroy America.”

But Hispanics have no real “power” to “destroy” America, and in the minds of the extremists, Jews apparently have the power to provide “assistance” in the matter. In San Diego yesterday, a synagogue was attacked by a white 19-year-old from a “respectable Christian” family, in which one person died and several injured. The irony is that this occurred in a city that is a Republican bastion, and likely many people in the synagogue were Trump supporters like, say, Stephen Miller. But that didn’t protect them. The question of why this “boy” decided to stage this attack was again “simplified” by saying he was “suspiciously” reserved and read some white supremacist screeds on-line. But I don’t buy that this was only reason. Is it possible that he came home every night to that trilogy of hate—Tucker Carlson, Laura Ingraham and Sean Hannity—that his parents may be fans of?  

If this isn’t enough to turn people off to Trump, what about the fact that he continues to act like a man with something terrible to hide? It turns out after careful reading that the Mueller report didn’t exactly “exonerate” Trump of serious moral or ethical lapses, let alone crimes. The report shows that Trump and his aiders and abettors worked frantically to prevent Trump’s fear that an investigation would mean the “end” of his presidency would become reality. And today, because Trump’s most fanatical aiders and abettors were largely uncooperative in the Mueller investigation, Democrats have been demanding that they appear before them to “explain” themselves, but Trump has declared all-out war on the Constitution and Congress’ prerogative of oversight. No one would be so strenuous in their attempt to deny that Congress hear not Fox News talking points but the actually “rationalizations” for some truly heinous policies in regard to health care, immigration, handing out top secret security clearances to family members for potential “insider trading” for “business” purposes in the future, and of course Trump’s tax returns if there was no truth to the allegations of wrongdoing. If Trump has nothing to hide then why is he obviously so desperate?

But there are still those who believe that Trump will not only win in 2020, but it is only a question of by how much. Trump is like Larry “Lonesome” Rhodes in the 1957 film A Face in the Crowd, in which a pre-Mayberry Andy Griffith puts in a tour-de-force performance as a drunken vagrant with a violent disposition who is transformed into a television superstar spouting homespun “wisdom,” whose every bigoted  pronouncement is taken as gospel by the provincial “forgotten” people. Seeing how he moves the masses, Rhodes becomes drunk on the notion of political power, until his actual belief in the stupidity of the people he “moves” is “accidentally” exposed to millions of television viewers. The question in regard to Trump is just how much of the hate and bigotry he inspires will be simply too much to take for any person who still supports him who has any shred of human decency left. 

And there are those, like commentator Hugh Hewitt, who is another one of those “conservatives” who once opposed Trump but now fully endorse him, who insist that “it’s the economy, stupid” that will insure his reelection. Democrats are going to have pound on certain realities that may dull some people’s enthusiasm about what the eventual recession might look like, thanks to Trump and the Republicans.  While the 3.2 percent increase in the GDP reported for the last quarter sounds great, it hasn’t done anything to improve revenues and the national debt, in fact is part of the “problem.” 

In its report this past March, the Treasury Department stated that in the first quarter of the current fiscal year there was a budget shortfall of $310 billion, a 77 percent increase over last year. Revenues, thanks largely to the Republican corporate tax cut law, went down 2 percent to $1.1 trillion, while spending rose 9 percent to $1.4 trillion. 86 percent of revenues came from individual taxes and Social Security taxes, while 93 percent of spending was on Social Security, Defense, Medicare, health, SSI, and interest payment on the debt. Despite profits and dividends totaling over $2 trillion in the same period, corporate taxes were practically a drop in the bucket at $60 billion, just over 5 percent of total revenues. Why some people believe that corporate taxes are “too high”—especially when some corporations like Exxon “famously” don’t pay any taxes—just doesn’t jibe with reality. Furthermore, corporations are bringing back money from overseas by the trickle, leaving most of it behind untouched by taxation. While revenues are likely to rise by the April tax deadlines, revenues will again just bottom out and deficits will again rise to record levels.

Just before the Great Depression, there was a lot of optimism, despite some warning signs, that the stock market would continue to rise “forever” even as late as Sept., 1929, when what was the first sign of the Great Depression was merely called a market “correction”—before the “fall” of October. The Dow Jones would eventually fall from nearly 400 points to 41 in 1932. During that time, the Hoover administration was miserly in its efforts to curb the suffering of the quarter of the population that was unemployed, with many more barely making ends meet, while the those at the tippy top continued to live as if nothing had ever happened, like Prince Prospero and his nobles hidden in their castle away from all the suffering from the Red Death. The record rise in the budget deficits thanks to Trump’s and Republicans so-called tax reform bill has made it even more likely that when the fall comes, there will be little left to control the ill winds that will befall the country.

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