Monday, September 30, 2024

Deliberately misleading ICE letter giving Trump diehards another "lifeline" just before the election

 

Republicans, obviously fearful that poll numbers are not particularly helpful to Donald Trump, have decided to ramp-up the fear-mongering against brown-skinned immigrants (well, the Hispanic variety anyways), and got that thug organization operating under the color of the law, ICE, to compose a letter containing information that has been made publicly available before, most recently in "periodic" reports in 2016 and 2021. How is this “new” information being reported by some in the “mainstream” media?

 


Some major news outlets have gotten off their fundaments to fact check Trump and his cohorts' claim that there are, according to a Trump post on (add laugh track) Truth Social, “Kamala should immediately cancel her News Conference because it was just revealed that 13,000 convicted murderers entered our Country during her three and a half year period as Border Czar.” He added later that she has personally “allowed almost 14,000 MURDERERS to freely and openly roam our Country.”

Of course the “letter” sent by ICE deliberately misled. Why would it leave out the information that the numbers cited stretched back as far as the Reagan administration? Of course there are those who want to be "misled," neglecting to note that the letter didn't say that they all entered the country as "murderers," but did mentioned in passing that the vast majority were either in federal or state prisons (and thus not "detainable" by ICE), or had served their time but could not be deported due to lack of extradition treaties with countries of origin, or by the simple fact that the many (in fact most) of the "crimes" committed were not deportable offenses for legal residents, and were merely being "monitored."

The overall numbers of crimes in the letter look "big" but in fact  given that they occurred over a 40 or so years period they are rather minuscule compared to overall crime in a given year, giving credence to the fact that immigrants (even the "illegal" type) are less crime prone than ordinary citizens:

 


The letter being bandied about includes these “crimes”—the worst being “larceny” which could mean shoplifting or stealing pens that don’t belong to you (that’s you, Ken Paxton):

“Conservation,” “Damage Property,” “Flight/Escape,” “Forgery,”  “Fraudulent Activities,” “ Gambling,” “General Crimes,” “Health/Safety,” “Invasion of Privacy,” “Immigration,” “Larceny,” “Liquor,” “Obscenity,” Obstruction,” “Public Peace,” “Threat” and the biggest “crime,” Traffic Offenses.

These account for the majority of the “crimes” in the letter. Yet why should we trust anything provided by a thug organization like ICE? In 2019, another acting director, Matthew Ablence, claimed that, “Approximately 90 percent of Enforcement and Removal Operations administrative arrests in the interior of the country are of aliens that have prior criminal convictions, face pending criminal charges, are immigration fugitives or have been previously removed from the country and have illegally reentered.”

Yet a study by Syracuse University refuted this claim, noting that according to their research, only 2.8 percent out of 270,000 detainees they looked at during this ERO had “criminal activity” cited. The Cato Institute, which tore-up the ICE letter here 1  pointed out that if what Trump, Lindsey Graham and Fox News were saying was literally “true,” that would mean that 99 percent of all murders are committed by immigrants. 

In another post about why the ICE should not be trusted with providing truthful information, Cato noted that ICE round-ups routinely swept up U.S. citizens who were not accused of a crime other than being "suspected" of being “illegal,” although the exact numbers are not “officially” known since the ICE naturally does not track such numbers; however, extrapolating from statistics garnered from one Texas county, it may be as high as 20,000 across the country over the 10-year period investigated.

Not only were these not uncommon during the days of “Secure Communities,” but a study by the Berkeley Law Center, Secure Communities by the Numbers, found that Hispanic males, regardless if they had actually committed a crime (merely just "suspected"), were almost solely targeted by the program simply because they were Hispanic males:

The unauthorized population has a different composition, with 77% from Latin America, 13% from Asia and 6% from Europe and Canada. By either measure, however, Latinos are disproportionately impacted by Secure Communities. The data indicate that 93% of the people identified for deportation through Secure Communities are from Latin American countries, while 2% are from Asia and 1% are from Europe and Canada. The overwhelmingly large percentage of Latinos among those identified for deportation by Secure Communities raises serious questions…

…there is a strong perception in immigrant communities that the local police are acting as ICE agents. Community and advocacy groups have also asserted that Secure Communities is, in some jurisdictions, masking local law enforcement agencies’ practice of racial profiling. These jurisdictions are criticized for targeting Latinos for minor violations and pre-textual arrests with the actual goal of initiating immigration checks through the Secure Communities system…

…As outlined above, the data in our sample indicate that noncitizens who are arrested and brought to a local jail, and thus subject to Secure Communities, fit a particular profile, namely a young Latino male. Some might assert that since Secure Communities targets criminal aliens, this profile makes sense because they presume that this population (young immigrant Latino males) is more likely to engage in criminal behavior than the average U.S. citizen. This assertion is, however, not supported by the data.

When ICE begins deportation proceedings against an individual, it issues a removal charge indicating the reason for deportation. As explained further below, only approximately one quarter (27%) of the individuals in our sample were charged with removal based on a criminal conviction while others were charged with removal for a civil immigration violation or were issued no charge at all. Moreover, previous research studies have demonstrated that noncitizens are less likely, not more, to engage in criminal behavior.

Research has shown that immigrants have lower rates of representation in state and local jails and prisons thereby questioning the perception of immigrant criminality. Our next report will examine more closely the criminal history of the individuals in our Secure Communities sample but these initial data raise further questions as to why young Latino men are disproportionately represented in Secure Communities enforcement actions.

I remember once I was driving in Bellevue when I was pulled over by a white female cop because she claimed I hadn't switched on my turn signal "fast enough." She just looked at my driver's license and gave it back with a "warning." I think she was disappointed that I didn't have a Spanish name that would make me even more "suspect" than merely looking like one. Here we see that only 8 percent of those detained under “Secure Communities” committed what could be called a “serious” crime...

 


 

...while 19 percent of so-called “other criminal grounds” could mean a simple traffic ticket or saying an “obscene” word to a cop like what started that "riot" in New York City that made the rounds on Fox News, while 73 percent are either being deported for being in the country—or for “No Removal Charge Given.”

Nothing of this is new, of course. In a post before the 2020 election, I noted that “The New York Times is reporting that the ICE is ramping-up its deportations just in time for Donald Trump to start bragging about it in the run up to the election. According to the ‘interim’ director of the ICE, Tony Pham, ‘The aliens targeted during this operation preyed on men, women and children in our communities, committing serious crimes and, at times, repeatedly hurting their victims.’” 

This was just a political stunt, given it was typical Trump administration paranoia-mongering with no factual basis. It was noted during a recent congressional hearing in which Marjorie Taylor Greene presented one of her infamous "charts" that the spike in border crossings actually began in the last months of Trump's term, apparently motivated to "hurt" Joe Biden and use it for cynical political reasons.

Just for some “context,” here are the homicide rates over a 60-year period, which saw a massive “spike” in 2020 (when Title 42 and “remain in Mexico” was still in force) and its hangover from the pandemic into 2021 and 2022 before falling by “record” rates in 2023:

 


This graph also shows how the biggest spike in homicides occurred during Trump’s last year in office, still during the Title 42 period:

 


But even when the Trump administration was actually rounding-up  immigrants, it was for at worst guiltiness for minor offenses, as if someone like Stephen Miller needed any reason at all save simple racism. The Times noted that “the most common convictions or criminal charges pending” other than simple immigration violations were for “driving under the influence, followed by drug offenses.”

The Times also cited the Syracuse University study, which found that the “jump in the number of detained immigrants in 2019 was a direct result of arrests of people with no criminal records. ‘ICE makes it sound like they are snatching wanted felons off the streets when it conducts these operations,’ said Austin C. Kocher, a geographer at Syracuse University who analyzes immigration enforcement data. ‘We don’t get a full picture. They downplay the large numbers of people detained and deported who committed minor offenses, usually a long time ago, or who had no crime on record.’” 

During the Trump administration, the brief frenzy for high numbers merely netted mostly gardeners, construction workers and maids—not “criminals.” Even those who committed actual crimes, the study showed “a higher percentage had been convicted of infractions such as driving without a license or immigration violations; a lower proportion of detained immigrants had committed violent crimes than before.”

Thus the ICE letter that Trump and Republicans are tossing about—which again isn’t “new” information, but is being treated as such, is being deliberately misinterpreted for purely cynical and hypocritical reasons, exploiting the paranoid, ignorant and uninformed:

 


 

Sunday, September 29, 2024

Jordan Love and Packers overcome 28-point deficit to lose by 2 over the Vikings. Now, what about their kicker?

 

Before I comment about today’s game I want to point out that I was always a big Brett Favre fan; I even have an autographed mini-helmet I paid $125 for; included was a photo of Favre sitting at home signing items to confirm the signature as authentic. Even after he was forced out of Green Bay after one too many times announcing his “retirement,” I still wanted to see him put up some numbers to pad what were then still career NFL record stats. 

Since then he’s had some legal issues in regard to the use of public funds intended for the needy in Mississippi, and now he revealed that he is suffering from Parkinson’s disease, apparently from by his count 1,000 concussions  he suffered during playing days, which comes out to about three a game.

As a Packer fan you have to have some feeling about that, since Favre pulled the Packers out of the tundra it was frozen into since the end of the Lombardi era over 20 years previous, and the Packers had not won a division title since 1972, and had just two playoff appearances.

Naturally, somebody had to ask Jenn Sterger her opinion on the matter, and she said something about “karma,” or something. While I don't condone Favre's behavior at the time, the truth of the matter is that the no-talent Sterger was hired by the Jets to be eye-candy on the sidelines for fans, and as a friend of hers pointed out, she liked to bait "celebrities" on-line or via cellphone to send her "revealing" pictures of themselves (as Favre allegedly did) for her own personal amusement.

That out of the way, in today’s game the Packers fell behind at home to the Vikings 28-0, and ended-up losing 31-29. Between then and there, the Packer quarterback threw three interceptions, and Viking mistakes could be blamed for allowing the game to be that close by the end, with a muffed punt at their own 3-yard leading to a Packer touchdown, and another fumble giving the Packers an automatic red zone opportunity. Other than that, the Packers’ offense piled-up 465 total yards, meaning they scored just twice with the other 432 yards of offense.

And despite all, the Packers still should have won this game. No, it wasn’t Malik Willis coming down to earth before getting his legs firmly planted and making big throws. Jordan Love decided he was ready to play, certainly not wanting to become alarmed for his job if Willis had led the team a “surprise” victory, even the though the Packers entered this home game with a slight edge, according to the line. Love looked “uncomfortable” early, threw two first half interceptions. Sam Darnold and ex-Packer Aaron Jones took advantage, although the latter didn’t get an opportunity to take that Lambeau leap as he had hoped to do.

The Packers managed to keep from entering the locker room at half time being completely embarrassed in front of the home crowd after that muffed punt by the Vikings allowed them to punch it in quick to make it 28-7 at the half. Then both teams took turns appearing offensively inept in the third quarter before the Packers mounted their first competent drive of the game, 89 yards, including a 28-yard completion to Bo Melton, and Dontayvion Wicks scored on a 6-yard TD pass.  Then a sack fumble, 2 plays, 20 yards and a two-point conversion later it was 28-22 with 10:16 left in the fourth quarter. Suddenly, Love had just shaken all the dust off and Packers were a score away from taking the lead. Just like that.

A Viking field goal made it 31-22, but it was far from over as Love hit Wicks for a 36-yarder, and later on he would catch a 17-yard scoring pass to make it a 2-point game. Now, before we crown Wicks as a “star is born,” it should be pointed out side of that outside of 3 catches for 59 yards and 2 TDs, Wicks caught just 2 passes on 10 other targets, including on Love’s third interception following the 36-yarder. But it would be just one of those days; on the Packers next possession, Tucker Kraft lost a fumble with 4:27 left in the game.

But it was hardly over, although it seemed that way as the Vikings reached the Packer 4-yard line near the two-minute warning, but failed to gain a yard for a first down turned the ball over. The Packers, with aid of two pass catches by a suddenly rejuvenated Jayden Reed who caught them for 62 yards, marched down the field and pulled within 2 after Wicks second TD pass catch. But a failed onside kick with less than a minute to play sealed the game for Vikings.

Yet despite all that Packers still should have won the game. Love threw for a career best 389 yards and 4 TDs, but those 3 INTs didn’t help. And now we have commentators questioning whether the Packers made the right move at the kicker position, and those questions will only increase exponentially after this game. Brayden Narveson missed field goal attempts of 37 and 49-yards, and technically either one could have won the game for the Packers. If the game had been a complete blowout as it appeared to be becoming, perhaps those misses would not be as noticeable, but with the final result as close as it was, those misses were a big enough hole for an aircraft carrier to sail through.

So Jordan Love is 0-2 as a starter this year, although to be fair he lost to two better teams than the ones Willis played against, but who knows? Love is obviously well enough to play (we think), and the Packers next play a Rams team on the road that lost to the Bears and are now 1-3. It would seem after his Super Bowl season, Matthew Stafford is back to being the same old Matthew Stafford he was with the Lions. 

Sunday, September 22, 2024

Packers easily beat an offensively inept Titans team as Willis again impresses

 

You have to give the Packers’ management some credit for recognizing talent when it isn’t obvious on the stat sheet, and Matt LaFleur using that talent to fit his offensive scheming that he was not necessarily able to do with Aaron Rodgers. This guy Malik Willis’ stat sheet with the Titans last year labeled him a “project” at best, but somehow the LaFleur offense was made for quarterbacks like him. You have to be impressed by the fact that Packers went on the road against a Titans defense that ranked fifth in total yards allowed (save for the fact that in having the worst turnover differential in the league they were also near the worst in points allowed) and were still dominant on both sides of the ball in a 30-14 win.

Having seen what he could do when he was allowed to throw the ball downfield in the fourth quarter of last week’s game and completing a 39-yarder to Romeo Doubs, Willis was allowed to throw three times downfield in the first half, completing them for 30+ yards, and 141 yards total in the first half, even connecting with Christian Watson for two of those throws (although he wasn’t targeted again). 

Josh Jacobs was largely ineffective in the game, but Willis demonstrated a willingness to take off running at will and led the Packers in rushing yards. The Packers hurt themselves unnecessarily with penalties (10 for 75 yards), but it didn’t matter as the Titans offense, one of the worst through the first two games, added another bad day with 237 total yards of offense, 60 percent of them on their scoring drives.

The Packer defense was outstanding again, albeit against that bad offense with a quarterback who makes one wonder why the Titans didn’t think Willis had more upside. The Packer defense contributed a Jaire Alexander interception returned for a touchdown—and three total turnovers contributing the Titans’ league-worst turnover differential—as well as 8 sacks and 12 quarterback hits, and a fourth down stop. Another “positive” was Brayden Naverson going 3 of 3 on field goals, although I put “positive” in quotes because he missed a 48-yard field goal attempt that was negated by a penalty that kept a Packer drive alive. 

The Packers mostly coasted in the second half as the Titans mostly sputtered after the Packer took a 27-7 lead in the third quarter en route to victory. Next week the Packers play the 3-0 Vikings who won impressively again, this time shutting down CJ Stroud and the Texans. The Packers are playing at home and Jordan Love is expected to return. Wouldn’t it be interesting if the $220 million dollar man plays poorly and the Vikings win going away—and people start wondering if Willis is really “the guy.”

Wednesday, September 18, 2024

The only "cure" for the contagion afflicting Trump's mind that he has infected the country with is undeniable public humiliaton from the voting booth, not from some grassy knoll

 

A unanimous Texas Supreme Court, all seven of the justices Republicans, upheld the state’s draconian abortion law. Why should anyone there complain?  The judges are all elected to their positions in a state that is less than 40 percent non-Hispanic white, yet it doesn’t vote in the expected stereotypical way. Gerrymandering and voter suppression certainly has a hand in it, but with eighty percent of eligible voters in the state actually registered, and typically only 50 percent of those are motivated to vote—we see the state “electing” corrupt, racist white guys who don’t even care if you know it.

That doesn’t mean that power-mad and corrupt Republicans (did you know that the top-five most corrupt presidential administrations since U.S. Grant are Republican, according to historians?) aren’t still “fearful”; a district judge threw out Ken Paxton’s lawsuit that largely targeted Hispanic voters in Bexar County because, well, what’s the point if those voter registration cards were already mailed out? 

But Travis County is still in Paxton’s crosshairs; amazing how desperate Republicans are to keep people in Democratic strongholds from voting, voters who are perhaps waking up to the reality that it isn’t really in their interest to keep voting for corrupt, racist white guys who don’t even care if you know it.  

And don't be fooled; the intent of the so-called Save Act pushed by Donald Trump and House Republicans is not to "assuage" crazed conspiracy theorists (sure it will), but is based on the same motivation: not to insure legal voting, but to curtail it. As I mentioned before, in Texas hundreds of thousands of registered legal voters are put on "suspense lists" until they can "prove" they actually live where they say they do; where there is a "will," there is a way for Republicans to keep the "wrong" people from exercising their right to vote.

In that spirit, Republicans are busy pulling any trick out of their fundaments to cheat their way to “victory.” No doubt they are going to find something “positive” out of the recent assumed attempt on Trump while he was busy playing golf at his Florida resort, instead of this—what did Mark Levin call him, a “god-fearing man”—being in church on Sunday?  

I thought I said all I needed to say concerning this election, but as they say, it ain’t over until over, and while Kamala Harris has according to most polls a slim lead over Trump, the last debate seems to have done little more than to assuage the fears of some voters about her “fitness,” as it clearly did not move the needle as much as hoped, and it may come down to how motivated voters are to go to the polling booths or mail in their ballots.

Admittedly, it is difficult to understand why some “thinking” voters who lean right or even just “center” would be motivated to vote for someone like Trump. Nobody in their “right mind” should feel any kind of “vicarious connection” with him or the way he “thinks.” This is a man with severe psychological issues (the current diagnosis is dementia), who does not speak or think in what most people should regard as “normal.” He once told us that if he shot someone on Fifth Ave. in New York City his supporters would still vote for him; that was not supposed to be a “joke,” because this elevated case of narcissism and sociopathy truly believes this. Trump is telling us he is a “target” because he is “consequential”—but not for the reasons he and his supporters believe.

JD Vance’s claim that it is Democrats who need to “tone down” the “rhetoric” is of course hypocritical on its face; what he and others on the far-right want is for Democrats to simply stop calling out Trump’s lies and unfitness, so as to keep his unhinged mind tethered to some semblance of sanity, given the fact that Trump has a tendency to act like a cornered raccoon when threatened by the truth about himself. That Trump is incapable of self-awareness or how power corrupts, it is “natural” for him to have learned no lessons from the first assassination attempt; he seems to have gone full crazy, especially in regard to immigrants, where he is doubling and tripling down on his pet-eating claims while schools in Springfield with Haitian children are being shut down because of bomb threats.

This guy is so deluded that  violence and violent rhetoric that demonizes and dehumanizes not just immigrants but anyone who opposes him is shockingly revealing of how his mind works when it is not (as we learned from Michael Cohen) scheming to cheat any system that dares to keep him  in check. If Trump wasn’t born into wealth, he’d just be another bigoted nobody looking for someone to blame, because no one would trust him any further than pick your slang term.

Trump clearly enjoys describing a world of violence and mayhem, using as “evidence” deluded conspiracy theories in which he applies "anecdotes" and “statistics” that are simply made up as he goes, the more outrageous the “better”; even his “harmless” lies are not without malicious import. Trump’s claim that during the Biden administration 110 percent of all new jobs were taken by illegal immigrants is not only absurd on its face, but mathematically impossible—yet there are the less mathematically-attuned who think if it “looks” that bad, then it must be “that bad,” even if people with half a brain know it’s an impossible lie whose only purpose is to demonize hard-working immigrants.

Even Dwight Eisenhower knew that political stunts like “Operation Wetback” had to be balanced by common sense measures, which is why at the same time he increased the number of legal work permits for migrant labor. In fact Eisenhower, a moderate Republican, is perhaps the last president to have had a “sensible” immigration policy, unlike that which has been defined by hypocrisy and racism since 1965 in which the “fixes” have only made the “problem” worse.

Yet Trump supporters don’t care how much he lies—they want to believe that things were the “best” the country had ever been when he was in office (obviously forgetting the pandemic ever happened), and now they are the “worst” they have ever been, totally devoid of context or reality. Things are “bad” because they need to be bad, or else Trump’s credibility (such as it is) is exposed as the dangerous farce that it is.

Trump claims to be the “greatest” president in history, and Joe Biden is the “worst” president in history.  Who believes that? Jordan Klepper from the Daily Show finds those people every time he visits a Trump rally, and it makes you feel dumber for just listening to them. This CBS News video a few months ago tells us that Trump supporters are mainly “aggrieved” low-class white people who don’t seem to realize that Trump only cares about himself and his riches, and by believing his lies and accepting them as their own, are being used for his own benefit, not theirs:

 


These people don’t feel so “bad” as long as the “others” are being beaten on worse; mass deportations of migrant workers doing work most of them wouldn’t touch won’t make their lives “better,” but it makes them feel “good” even when the economy and their own lives eventually suffers from such, as we are told here https://itep.org/trump-mass-deportation-would-vaporize-the-economy/. Such is the national delusion we live in today, and the evidence suggests that Trump not only lives in a hellscape of his own creation, but has convinced people who live in their own dark world, but being in one without a unifying concept,  accept his conceptualization as their own.

In this video…

 


…Dr. Bandy Lee, a psychiatrist who edited a book of essays by mental health experts entitled The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump, makes it plain that whatever is ailing Trump, he has spread it to a large segment of the population like a cancer or virus. And this hasn’t just infected those most susceptible to his version of reality, but it is also infecting people who feel the harm to the body politic and its potentially fatal nature, but feel “helpless” to stop him, at least by “legal” means; Trump has no doubt overtaken the “sense” of a few such people; but then again, who really is to blame for that? Trump, and those who have enabled him.

One wonders if enough people are truly concerned about will happen in another Trump administration; even undecided “swing voters” seem willing to give Trump the “benefit of the doubt” no matter how unhinged he sounds. And if what the Associated Press is  reporting, sounding the alarm that the USPS headed by Trump-appointee Louis DeJoy and his reduction and consolidating of distribution centers that is still underway less than two months till the election, and is concerning to both parties in regard to the timely tabulation of mail-in ballots—and could be the cause of chaos that makes January 6 look like a flag football game.

Dr. Lee points out in the video that an unhinged Trump has been allowed to be so by occupying a world that has been afforded to him by being born into wealth, insulating him from the reality of most people. She asserts that Trump “suffers from malignant narcissism,” and that his supporters can’t see through this domineering, authoritarian self, because in a way his supporters want to be so themselves against the “others.”

Trump’s “dark psychology,” which Carl Yung called “The Shadow,” is “highly emotionally driven so not only does he conjure up the most horrific images and dark displays of what he sees to be reality,” Dr. Lee says, but  while “the chaos and carnage in society doesn't really exist, he takes others with him to that place.” Trump says “the unspoken out loud” but while it may appear that “he says what others only think,” in fact 

he's actually leading people into those domains and that's part of the Trump contagion that I've been warning against. The psychology of Trump is a contagion that he's spreading—not just ideas but a whole mindset and a whole psychology that once people assume it they come to think like he does. They'd rather follow whatever he says and then reality goes by the wayside because he subverts reality into delusion and his own delusions into reality. That is what severe symptoms cause one to do, and the level of detachment from reality indicates how severe his symptoms are.

Dr. Lee notes that using terms like “vermin” and “bloodbath” indicates Trump is untethered from reality, and thus making claims like “killing babies after birth” and eating cats and dogs help frame a world that is a “hellscape” which is in fact is not real but exists within Trump’s own imagination, made worse by feelings of “distress” that things may not be going according to his plan, exacerbating the worst aspects of his mental state.

And make no mistake: his mental delusions have made him what he is: a self-crafted “celebrity” made for the unreality of the television market, a man who accepts minority “friends” as long as they help disguise the fact that he is a racist who only chose the Republican Party because he could not abide a black (actually biracial) man being a president of his country, and thus the “birther” nonsense that he made himself ridiculous espousing that only Fox News took seriously, and thus the easily manipulated Trump found a home where his own unhinged views were shaped into acceptable sound bites for the Fox News masses.

We have to ask ourselves—or more specifically, Trump supporters—just how much “crazy” are we willing to accept before we say enough is enough. In the film Mr. Klein that I talked about last week, the socially and economically privileged Klein’s easily avoidable folly led him right into that cattle car to Auschwitz, and we need to avoid making the same kind of mistake here. 

No one should be fooled by the idea that things seemed “normal” during the previous Trump administration; he was somewhat kept under “control,” at least initially, by “professionals” who knew their business, forced on Trump because he was completely clueless save for his personal beliefs based on personal fantasies.

But then we saw that once Trump untethered himself from the professionals and surrounded himself with fascist fanatics like Stephen Miller, Vivek Ramaswamy, Peter Navarro, Steven Bannon, Roger Stone and his various “advisers” on Fox News; that is when we saw the real Trump, someone who could not accept any reality save that shaped his own warped worldview in which he was “the boss” who, like in his “reality” television show, he decided who lived or died and took giddy pleasure in saying “you’re fired.” Imagine if he is re-elected and conspiracy crank Laura Loomer will be a "player" in formulating public policy, Corey Lewandowski will be his "enforcer," and Aileen Cannon will find a spot on the Supreme Court as a "reward" for her "loyalty."

Yet while there were “limits” to this behavior as president, they were not the kind that made things “better”; remember how Miller so easily manipulated him against doing right by DACA recipients when hours previously he seemed to have accepted a bi-partisan Senate deal—“reminding” Trump who elected him and why.  Being human simply isn’t in the playbook. The fact is that Trump has nothing but contempt for the viewpoints of others that imply he is wrong or ill-educated about a subject matter, which excites the worst impulses in him, and if the offender continues to insist that he see reality, he or she is either “fired,” or if outside his control, subject to the most contemptibly and rhetorically violent terms, and it is a measure of Trump mental delusion that he cannot see what others are seeing. He clearly lost the debate with Harris, but he cannot admit this because it would mean that there is something “wrong” with him, and that simply cannot do with a man who claims to be a “very stable genius.”

There is no “joy” to be had in talking about Trump’s mental state and complete unfitness for the highest office in the land, and danger he can do there with his increasingly unhinged dictatorial impulses; perhaps even worse than his immigration “priorities” is how he can transform the court system for many decades to come into bastions of far-right extremism that instead of protecting individual rights, removes them in the name of culture war and partisan politics.

Worse yet is when there are those few people who seem to believe that there is no other way to stop him save by a bullet; but that is Trump’s doing, not Democrats calling him out on his violent rhetoric and unhinged conspiracies based on lies and manipulation of a gullible ignorant mass of people—and as noted, Trump has only moved the dial off the charts with this rhetoric rather than learn any “lessons.” Trump doesn’t deserve that; that would be too easy for him.

Trump needs and deserves to be publicly humiliated once and for all by voters “firing” him at the ballot box, by people who tell him he is not who he thinks he is, but just a sick man who has been insulated from reality since he was child, a man “molded” by his Hitler-supporting father, corrupt lawyers like Roy Cohn, neo-Nazis like Miller, and dictators like Putin and Orban, a man who has never been able to come to grips with who he is and the damage he has done to this country that may take decades to repair, if ever.

Sunday, September 15, 2024

Packers win as ground game keeps Willis out of trouble, and Richardson's "big play" throws land in the hands of Packer defenders

 

I’ll keep this short and “sweet.” What did I tell you last week? The Packers had a chance to beat the Colts based on two variables: that the Packers have an offensive scheme that prevents Malik Willis from having to use his arm as much as possible. This was accomplished with Willis throwing just 14 passes as the team piled-up 261 yards on the ground. It was only in the fourth quarter with the Packers with a 10-point lead that Matt LaFleur allowed Willis to throw the ball downfield, which by good fortune was a 39-yard completion to Romeo Dobbs, which constituted a third of Willis’ total passing yardage. While Josh Jacobs gained 151 yards (but lost a fumble in the end zone), Jayden Reed caught just 2 passes on 2 targets for 9 yards after his huge game last week, while Christian Watson was not targeted even once.

The second variable the Packers needed to accomplish was for the defense to prevent the random big play by Anthony Richardson, because doing so would take advantage of Richardson’s habit of inconsistency; we saw that the Packers managed this by the secondary playing deep to defend against the balls thrown downfield—and three of Richardson’s throws downfield were intercepted, and overall he completed just 50 percent of his passes. This is what the Packers hoped would happen: take the lead early and make the opponent’s inexperienced quarterback be the one who is forced to stand in the pocket and throw the ball.

There were problems of course. Willis was not sacked or hit a single time in the game; when he didn’t immediately find a receiver, he ran. It is a question whether this is a winning strategy against better defenses or the team is in a deep hole. After all, the Packers scored only 16 points in this game, although they did leave points on the field, including another makeable field goal. But just one “big play” by Richardson would have left a different result than the 16-10 final score in the Packers favor.

Still the final result was certainly a relief for fans in any case, and if the Packers can continue to control the game on the ground, their schedule will not be particularly difficult, at least not until they face the Texans and C.J. Stroud in Week 7; before then there is the Rams, who were blown-out by the Cardinals, and although the Vikings beat the 49ers, well they were not supposed to be that good this year.

The Packers play the Titans next and are underdogs despite the Titans being 0-2. The Titans blew a 17-0 lead against the Bears, and then lost to a Jets team with Aaron Rodgers at least ambulatory. The game is on the road, and frankly that is the only advantage the Titans have, unless one considers the fact that second-year quarterback Will Levis has slightly more experience than Willis, but not the kind that can overcome a lack of big-time playmakers that one can surmise the Packers’ offense possesses, if Willis is able to take advantage of the weapons he has in the receiver corps.

Wednesday, September 11, 2024

ZERO

 

Listening to last night’s debate, I wondered if Democrats who were “rattled” by a poll that claimed that 59 percent of respondents thought that Donald Trump was the “moderate” candidate were justified in this fear. I expected the debate to put that nonsense to rest in the minds of some of those people. As expected, Kamala Harris remained stable and in control, while Trump—apparently irritated by her attacks on his fitness and competency, and her visible amusement at some of his absurd lies—was flailing about with the usual personal attacks and made-up numbers taken out of thin air. Trump’s incompetency is such that it is clear that if he is elected, he would not be running the country, but fascist goons like Stephen Miller and others who are motivated by nothing more than juvenile contrariness and master race fantasies.

Is the country in that bad a shape as Trump claims? I mean, really? One must wonder what country Trump thinks he is living in, sounding like a clownish functionary from the Russian propaganda ministry. His refusal to say he supports Ukraine independence and employing Hungarian dictator Viktor Orban as a "reliable source" demonstrated his discomfort with democratic norms. His accusations of immigrants eating pets is typical of his dehumanizing people and total lack of simple human decency.

And of course he lied about this, he lied about that; a little research will tell you that U.S. job figures showed 2.7 million fewer people were working when Trump left office than we he started. A little research will tell you that Iran and North Korea became more dangerous because of Trump’s amateurish meddling. A little research will tell you that Trisha Meili, the victim in the Central Park jogger case, is not only not dead (as Trump insinuated), but still alive at 64, an author and activist.

The NPR commentators unanimously called the debate a TKO for Harris; Fox News, despite the usual suspects enamored with Trump’s mere repeating of their own lies on national television, was apparently so rattled  by Trump’s “performance” that they immediately offered to host a debate. Harris probably unwisely suggested another debate, but if held by Fox News it should be declined because it would a hit job, the “motivation” behind it clearly to save Trump from himself and not make his Fox News "advisors" look like complete fools.

And wouldn’t you know it, but this person…

 


….who Arwa Mahdawi of The Guardian was half-convinced was a “secret” Trump supporter for failing to publicly disown it or saying anything at all, announced that after Harris’ debate performance had convinced her that all the issues she holds personally dear in deference to her self-involvement, Taylor Swift came out on Instagram to first say that she was “aware” of the possibility of misinformation in the above image, although she didn’t explicitly condemn it, and second to say that she was voting for Harris after all. Isn’t it amazing that something like this is actually headline news in this day and age?

The world is a zero sum game; not everyone can be a “chief,” because then who will do all the work to make a few people super rich? It all has to start from somewhere. What good is a lot of money if there is nothing to buy with it? Nothing from nothing equals nothing, and what is Trump feeding working people who make people like him rich? A bunch of empty propaganda with zero calories. 

Unfortunately we live in a world where nothing is actually “free,” not even silence. I was in the Seattle Central Library the other day, which is more a “tourist attraction” than any place to do any real work (let alone reading books). Remember the “good old days” when one of the tasks of a librarian was to insure the library was a place where you could work in peace and quiet? 

Well, not anymore. The “library,” at least the downtown branch, is a place where people (some of them homeless) can treat as a “community center” where they can talk, yell or play their music or videos if they so choose, because once you “relax” the rules for some, rules no longer mean anything. In fact, if you complain about the noise, you are the one who is “the problem.”

And so I was working on this post, the final entry for my “dictionary,” when I became aware of jawing and joking a half-dozen rows down. Maybe this is just me, but noise in “quiet” environments is more irritating than it is in environments where you expect to hear a lot of noise. So I “asked” whoever these people were to “shut-up”—who I figured were just a couple of “tourists” who were just there to look around. What I heard in response was some arrogant, combative individual who wanted to pick a fight.

All he had to do was be “respectful” and tone it down. Instead, this person who identified himself as a library employee, deliberately wanted to escalate the situation.  What for? What was his motivation to insist on carrying on a nonexistent argument?  When I pointed out he was the one shouting, not me, like some street punk he huffed and puffed his way to the table I was working and “presented” himself, in a fashion—and I do mean “fashion”—which if intended to create the impression that people were reacting to that instead of his bullying behavior, the latter rendered it counter-productive.

Now, this being Seattle, you have to understand the concept of “different strokes for different folks,” and this guy was definitely stroking different. Imagine Marilyn Manson in a dress (well, maybe not so hard to imagine for those who are his “fans”). When I say “counter-productive,” I mean it was obvious that this guy wanted to draw attention to himself in order to draw a particular view from people. The “problem” was that hardly anyone would have noticed or cared what this white guy “looked like,” but this guy was looking to play a “victim” by trying to claim that I was “judging” him by his appearance and not his actions—and I hadn’t even see him before he started his noise-making and decided to show himself for my "entertainment."

Of course, security and other librarians stopped by, none of them who claimed to have heard this guy’s rude and contemptible behavior. It all soon died down, but I couldn’t help but to observe that some people are desperate to portray themselves as a “victim of society,” but their behavior negates that; for most of the world it is ships passing in night, but people like this want to cause a shipwreck. I was born an “alien,” and I can’t change that in the eyes of many (or most); but this guy, he chose to be an “alien” by drawing attention to himself by being a rude asshole, and it appears in retrospect based in on a few encounters the next day that the librarians knew this as well.

This is a case where a great deal of effort is put into “causes” that they should just leave alone because it is all in their head and there is no benefit from it. This can also happen to people who believe they are a cut above the common run, and are indignant  that anyone would believe that they have any taint or association with the unwanted “others,” and efforts to disprove such associations often only backfire because people might ask “What is he trying to hide?”

That is story of the 1976 French film Mr. Klein, where the beginning credits tell us it is based on “the experiences of several individuals,” implying factual events in France from 1942 involving the infamous the Vélodrome d'Hive round-up of French Jews. So it is we see a man named Robert Klein (Alain Delon) as an apolitical, amoral art dealer who takes advantage of desperate French Jews looking to sell off their valuable artwork before the Gestapo and their French police collaborators steal it for nothing, but for only centimes on the franc.

One day a Jewish newspaper is left at his residence; outraged that someone either believes he is Jewish or is trying to frame him, Klein first goes to the publisher, and then to the police to file a complaint. He immediately comes under suspicion, since despite the fact he doesn’t “look” Jewish, and Klein is a technically a German name, in France it is seen as a “Jewish” name. He is advised by his lawyer not to draw attention to himself and just let the thing die, but he is intrigued by the existence of this “doppelganger” who he shares the same name with, and conducts an “investigation” of this man, who he never actually sees, but discovers he appears like him in a general way.

What follows is that in a series of coincidences, Klein goes from suspect to “confirmation” of being this Jewish man; being only “suspected” he is not required to wear the yellow Star of David, but since art dealers are stereotyped as being all Jews, Klein finds his apartment invaded by police and all his artwork and other valuables confiscated. His lawyer attempts to dissuade him from doing “suspicious” things, but Klein will not be stopped: he is determined to find this other Klein.

He goes too far in his quest, even telling a landlady, who claims to have never seen the Jewish Klein’s face, that he wants to rent the rundown room where he once lived. Realizing it isn’t safe for him to remain in France, he is given the opportunity to escape the country with a forged passport provided by his lawyer. However, he meets a woman who informs him that the other Robert Klein was at the train station they just left, and unable to control his foolish quest he jumps off the train to find him. Having contacted him using the phone number he found at the doppelganger’s apartment, he arranges for them to meet, but instead when police arrive to arrest the Jewish Klein in the aforementioned round-up of French Jews, they only find our Robert Klein.

Yet Klein has one more opportunity to escape: his lawyer arrives with his birth certificate and records proving that his parents and grandparents were Christians. But Klein “sees” in the crowd the man he believes to be the other Klein and informs his lawyer that he “will be back.” But instead he passes the point of no return, when still looking for the other Klein he goes through the gate into the area that is controlled by German soldiers rather than French police. He is shoved into a cattle car, destiny likely Auschwitz, and now he can only mull over his eventual fate, his face a picture of resignation that he allowed himself to become the Jewish version of Robert Klein, although not yet realizing that his destiny is likely to become nothing but burnt ashes:

 


The film is somewhat ironic since later Delon would be the subject of scrutiny over his views on Jews and the Holocaust, but here at least he gives his star power to a film that is revealing about the French complicity in the Holocaust.   

On the other hand, the 1969 French documentary The Sorrow and the Pity on the subject was radioactive in France for years, and not allowed to be seen on French television for a decade. I purchased the Arrow Blu-ray instead of the domestic Milestone release because it includes an extra that features a televised debate between the filmmaker and historians, with high school age students inputting their own views about the subject of French complicity after watching the documentary; while a few were more honest about racial views (then, not necessarily now), many simply fell back on the notion that people were scared for themselves, and that “we are not like that anymore.”

Of course the Dreyfus Affair had already exposed the underlying anti-Semitism in French society beforehand, and the fact that Dreyfus was eventually exonerated was due more to political backlash rather than social growth.  After all, Karl Marx was Jewish, and anti-Jewish propaganda when France was under Nazi control or influence (Vichy), made clear the connection between Jews and “Bolshevism”—just another way in this country of saying “socialism.”

This is all ironic given that the far-right National Rally party gained the most votes by a single party in the national election (37 percent), and despite the fact that left-wing parties formed a coalition to win a plurality of seats in the National Assembly, Emmanuel Macron chose instead to select as prime minister a right-wing politician  from a second-run party, inspiring outrage from the left after they had aided Macron and his center-right party in overcoming the far-right threat. In an op-ed in the Washington Post, Lee Hokstadder writes

French President Emmanuel Macron last week handed a noose to the nation’s hard right, a movement animated by bigotry, and empowered it to hang his government whenever it likes. Macron, backed into a corner of his own making, named a new prime minister whose survival, along with the cabinet’s, will depend on the support of Marine Le Pen’s National Rally, a party whose trademark is rejection of France’s vibrant multicultural diversity

... Now, Macron has allowed not just a crack in the firewall but a yawning breach, brought about by his impulsive decision to shuffle France’s political deck when no such move was necessary. How Le Pen will deploy that leverage — by pressing for her party’s populist, right-wing agenda or by hewing to the center — will become clearer over the coming months. What is extraordinary is that after years on the margins, the French far right now has a chokehold on government policies and the nation’s future.

And none of this had to happen; Macron was frightened by the electoral success of the far-right in the EU elections, and so to “prove” to himself that this was not the “will of the people,” he called a snap election, What did happen instead is that Macron allowed the far-right National Rally an opportunity to control the government. He is being accused thus of “endangering democracy” and ignoring the “will of the people”—or at least a majority of it—who are not ready to hand power to a party with the usual far-right populist rhetoric: immigration, crime and inflation, all exaggerated and all meant to frighten people.

All of this of course disguises the real problems in France—a rapidly aging population, rising debt fueled by an enormous public sector (21 percent of the labor force is in government compared to 13 percent in the US), and an overly generous public pension system with fewer workers to pay for it. It is ironic that the far-right in France opposes working age immigrants who fill jobs and pay taxes, since telling lies about them is also the “strategy” of Trump and the far-right in this country to avoid discussing the issues that really affect the lives of people and the future.

Some people think that problems can be “killed” by shooting them with blanks; of course when they are done shooting, the “problem” is still standing. In a review of the Netflix film version of JD Vance’s Hillbilly Elegy, which Scott Mendelson in Forbes called “pandering poverty porn,” he notes that the Ron Howard-directed film (oh, and he has “second thoughts” about it now?)—the screenplay of which edits out most of Vance’s more extreme views—argues that if he thinks that

…hard work and determination are the only determining factors without wondering why, if that’s the case, such a story would be unique enough to justify an awards-season movie. It goes without saying that the film doesn’t touch on trickle-down economics and the outsourcing/automation of American labor, the Reagan-era gutting of public education and social programs or the over-prescription of Oxycontin. Todd Phillips’ Joker is a more honest look at the macro causes of micro ills. The notion that Bev “stopped trying” negates the very real social and corporate causes of poverty.

Mendelson points out the hypocrisy in the belief that “everyone” can be a “winner” in this society; you know, “all chiefs and no Indians”; I mean if everyone was a Yale-educated lawyer who made his money (with the cash help of right-wing billionaire Peter Thiel, who Vance recently “begged” for campaign funds) as a venture capitalist and not helping people in need of legal help (what a waste of an education), essentially ripping off entrepreneurs for their own gain as noted by this law firm 1 and shown here:

 



And so we are supposed to ignore the fact that people like Vance (oh, hell, and like Trump) insure that the “people” who support Trump that Vance supposedly gave “voice” to are left in low-paying jobs (or jobs at all) to make people like him who create or make nothing rich.

So arrogant, self-privileged con artists like Vance scolds and feeds people a fake line, running government like a “business,” where the profits of corporations and wealth of the rich come first, and the needs of the people come last (if not disregarded altogether).  Mendelson notes that

This is what pundits talk about when we hear about folks ‘voting against their own self-interest.’ Although it’s also argued that, for too many white voters, white supremacy is in their self-interest to the point of denying themselves just to make sure that ‘those people’ don’t also benefit. Needless to say, the very idea of racism doesn’t play a role in this sanded-down fable.

When people act against the own interests, like Robert Klein, and become so “outraged” that people they don’t even know is trying to “destroy” them, they become their own worst enemy, and destroy themselves in the end; why did this man try to race his bike through the center of an intersection in front of a left turn signal?

 


It’s just not “smart,” just as it isn’t voting for Trump again. You just have to say enough is enough. In John Sayles’ 1983 film Baby It’s You, Jill tells Sheik “We’re not in high school anymore!” That is something some people need to learn; it’s about going somewhere, or going nowhere. They need to “grow-up” and finally get it into their heads that Trump is a “fad” that had its day, and we need to learn from our mistakes. He’s not the “answer.” In 2020 he left the country like this…


 


…and why do we want to return to that? Well, folks, if you don’t like democracy because your guy didn’t win, there are other places to go. The Daily Mail tell us that

Brits have already signed up for Vladimir Putin's offer to escape the woke West and move to Russia for its traditional values, reports in the country claim. Already 17 people have been in touch with Russian diplomats in Britain seeking details of Putin's fast-track residence permits, Moscow has said. It comes after Putin changed immigration laws to tempt Westerners to embrace his dictatorship.

Of course it ain’t over until its over, and unless the Trump fad ends, we won’t even see this country turn into a zero sum game: if people like Trump, Vance, Thiel, Musk and the like have their way, you might as well follow all those migrants out of town for all the “benefit” their plans have for you.

On Fox News’ “The Five” Jessica Tarlov, exhausted from being the lone exhibiter of common sense on the panel who dared her fellow panelists to explain the nonsense coming out of Trump’s mouth and the fact that nothing he proposes helps working people, stopped David Gutfield cold when he said “Look, I know…” with “You know what?” “I know tariffs.” “I dated tariffs.” At least Gutfield had a sense of humor about it; his fellow right-wing panelists sat stonefaced, the one liberal on the panel “trumping” them all with something they are not used to encountering: the undisputable truth.

Trump is keen with those one-line policy proposals that demonstrate that he is  keenly aware not of his working class "base," but those on the far-right with the knives and scissors.  When asked if he supports a child day care tax credit, he avoids the question by talking about “tariffs” that will generate “lots of money” as if that is going to solve working families’ day care issues. Trump talks about inflation, but tariffs certainly are drivers of inflation, since they add cost to imported products, which will be borne on people who can least afford it. It would only “work” if the U.S. manufactured products of a like nature that then could compete better, but it hasn’t been doing that since at least the Carter administration.  Again, Trump’s proposals add-up to zero benefit for working people.

No, we should “pity” the rich. While it is true that those in the upper-income brackets pay the large majority of federal income taxes, we must remember they still make gobs of money, a lot more than when there was a 90 percent marginal tax rate on income above the exorbitant that was instituted during the FDR administration to insure that rich were not keeping all the money for themselves. The following graphic shows that the lower-end pays the vast majority of the FICA and Medicare payroll taxes, and is about 45 percent of all federal deductions taken out of most people’s checks. Unlike the federal income tax, none are subject to refund:

 


What this tells us is that just maybe if there is a "problem" keeping Social Security and Medicare solvent the answer is staring us right in the face? 

Of course the states need to gouge working people too. Here in Washington State, there is the WA Cares Fund to pay for “long term care services,” the WA Paid Family and Medical Leave tax  (which of course is not meant to help me or anyone I know),  and the state workers compensation fund. If you own property, you likely see property taxes increase every so often to pay for new projects. The state has no income tax, just the regressive sales tax, which tends to hit the lower-income types the hardest; this is also true of “red states” that brag of not having state income taxes that unnecessarily “burden” the well-off; no, that’s for poor people to be burdened.

It’s not hard to understand that some people just don’t “get it.,” especially if they don’t watch MSNBC. We know about Fox News, but CNN has been faking it as a “moderate” voice, to the point of being accused of “sanitizing” and “sanewashing” Trump’s incoherent rally speeches; we remember that  CNN was also accused of aiding Trump’s election in 2016 by giving his rants endless screen time without comment.

We live in a world where sometimes you have expectations, but you have no control over it. For example this Amazon driver ignored both the delivery window of 10AM to 3PM requested for this "rush delivery" and the permanent instructions stating that the business opened at 9 AM:





 



This person didn't even input the correct city when he made this faked entry. This "rush delivery" was subsequently "lost" and had to be reordered and delivered by the usual way, two days late.

But we expect someone who is running for the highest office in the land to be in control at least of his sanity, and Trump certainly isn't one of those people. He repeated the same one-liner lies he’s told endless times during the debate and some people will take this as “evidence” of that he can put together a string of coherent sentences better than Joe Biden could, but as we saw even during the first debate when asked specific yes or no answers he was unable to commit to any actual policy plan, other than deport, deport, deport, and drill, drill, drill.  The evidence from his campaign speeches shows that he is losing his mind, his social media posts completely unhinged…

 


…and he won’t be in “charge” of anything if elected again, but simply a “front” for the activities for white nationalists with their own dark vision of what they want this country to be. In Texas, Steve Hanley notes that the Texas Supreme Court upheld the creation of new “special courts” stocked with judges who have in the past proven to be in the pocket of the polluters in the fossil fuel industry, whose existence is Gov. Greg Abbott’s payback to the industry for dumping tons of campaign cash in his coffers. 

Unlike most judges who are elected by the people, “Instead, they have been handpicked over the last two months by Greg Abbott personally. They are to serve two-year terms, which means if they dare to rule against the whims of the governor, they can be dumped overboard fairly quickly replaced by someone who will shut up and do what they are told.”

In Texas, political influence is easy to buy if you are rich or are a corporation. Working people in Texas still haven’t gotten the message yet, continuing to vote for corrupt politicians like Abbott and Ken Paxton whose only interest is power and how to keep it.  Hanley ends by noting that “For those who are paying attention, this is exactly the kind of unequal justice we can expect all across America if there is a second Trump presidency. You have been warned. Please vote wisely.”

We shall see. Some people seem to think that the act of "thinking" is too exhausting:

 


 If politics is a zero sum game where there are only “winners” and “losers,” in the end nobody wins if there is no country to “win” left. Think about that.